$100B software debt crunch is looming as PE-backed loans come due
Opportunities in the PE debt crunch, where your Gemini traffic went, and AI API prices down 80%? Well, sort of.
Newsletter //
Issue 2, November 3, 2026
Featured story
About $100B of PE-backed software loans come due in 2028 and 2029

On October 27, the Wall Street Journal reported that about $300B of risky loans owed by private-equity-backed companies come due in 2028 and 2029, five times the recent two-year average. On SaaStr the next day, Jason Lemkin noted that about a third, roughly $100B, is owed by software companies, many bought with seven-year loans in 2021, and that Thoma Bravo has already handed Medallia to its lenders.
Our thoughts
– Chris Heysel, CEO
More this week
Gemini stopped tagging the links it cites

SEO consultant Natzir Turrado reported on October 27 that Gemini had stopped adding a utm_source=gemini tag to links it cites. In his server logs, tagged visits vanished overnight on September 29 and hadn't returned a month later.
Our thoughts
– Chris Heysel, CEO
a16z raised about as much as 650 other US venture funds combined

SaaStr's Jason Lemkin showed on October 26 that a16z closed $23.8B of the $108.5B that US venture funds raised through September, as much as about 650 smaller funds combined. Over the same months, an estimated record 8,625 US startups raised a first round.
Our thoughts
– Chris Heysel, CEO
About half of B2B software buyers lean on AI at most steps of picking a vendor

Bain's July survey of 207 IT decision makers found 54% use AI at least half the time to research vendors, 51% to compare a shortlist, 46% to build the first list, and 32% to negotiate. About one in five almost always use it for the first three.
Our thoughts
– Chris Heysel, CEO
OpenAI and Anthropic cut their model prices by up to 80% in a few months

Data scientist Max Woolf tallied the cuts on October 25, including 80% off OpenAI's small Luna model in July and 40% to 60% off the cost of using Anthropic's newest Opus. He argues cheap open-weight models could keep prices falling.
Our thoughts
– Chris Heysel, CEO
The Office Buzz
Personal recommendations and thoughts from the team.
MindTime, a meditation timer

Even 5 minutes of meditation a day is so helpful for me personally.
Most apps are freemium and keep pestering you with ads and upgrades, which inside a meditation app is completely counter to what you want. MindTime doesn't bug me. Its maker, Christian Krueger in Berlin, says technology should "help you do something meaningful, then get out of the way," and I think it shows.
No affiliation, I just use it and like it. Get it for iPhone or Android.
– Chris Heysel, CEO